SS futures fluctuations drove spot stainless steel, with inventory continuing to decline [SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review]

Published: Aug 28, 2025 17:55
[SS Futures Drives Spot Stainless Steel, Inventory Continues to Drop] SMM reported on August 28 that the SS futures showed a trend of first falling then rising. After the night session opened, it quickly fell and then operated below 12,800 for most of the time. In the afternoon, it rebounded and strengthened, closing above 12,850 yuan/mt. In the spot market, prices were lowered in the morning due to the decline in SS futures and poor acceptance of high-priced goods by downstream end-users. Traders faced significant pressure to sell off inventory at month-end. In the afternoon, as futures stopped falling and started to rise, market confidence returned, leading to improved transactions and higher quotes. This week, social inventory further decreased, down 0.49% WoW to 928,800 mt. In the futures market, the most-traded contract 2510 fluctuated. At 10:30 AM, SS2510 was quoted at 12,800 yuan/mt, down 90 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The spot premiums/discounts for 304/2B in Wuxi ranged between 320-470 yuan/mt. In the spot market, Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coils were quoted at 8,050 yuan/mt; cold-rolled 304/2B coils averaged 13,025 yuan/mt in Wuxi and 13,025 yuan/mt in Foshan; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils were 25,675 yuan/mt in both Wuxi and Foshan; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils were 25,100 yuan/mt in both locations; and cold-rolled 430/2B coils were 7,400 yuan/mt in both Wuxi and Foshan. Last week, SS futures continued to fall, completely erasing gains made this month…

SMM reported on August 28 that the SS futures showed a trend of first falling and then rising. After the night session opened, it quickly fell and then operated below 12,800 for most of the time. In the afternoon, it rebounded and strengthened, closing above 12,850 yuan/mt. In the spot market, in the morning, influenced by the decline in SS futures, and with downstream end-users still showing low acceptance of high-priced goods, traders faced significant pressure to sell at month-end and thus lowered their quotes. In the afternoon, as futures stopped falling and rose, market confidence returned, trading recovered, and quotes followed the upward trend. This week, social inventory further decreased, down 0.49% WoW to 928,800 mt.

In the futures market, the most-traded contract 2510 fluctuated. At 10:30 AM, SS2510 was quoted at 12,800 yuan/mt, down 90 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The spot premiums and discounts for 304/2B in Wuxi were in the range of 320-470 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the 201/2B cold-rolled coil in Wuxi was quoted at 8,050 yuan/mt; the 304/2B cold-rolled coil (with edges) averaged 13,025 yuan/mt in Wuxi and 13,025 yuan/mt in Foshan; the 316L/2B cold-rolled coil in Wuxi was 25,675 yuan/mt, and in Foshan, 25,675 yuan/mt; the 316L/NO.1 hot-rolled coil in both regions was 25,100 yuan/mt; the 430/2B cold-rolled coil in both Wuxi and Foshan was 7,400 yuan/mt.

Last week, the SS futures continued to fall, completely erasing the gains made this month, and basically returning to the level at the end of July, with the low point reaching the key threshold of 12,700 yuan/mt. Affected by this, the spot market also weakened. The downstream market had already shown low acceptance of the previous high prices, and with the significant pullback in futures, as well as traders adopting discount strategies under sales pressure, spot quotes declined. However, even with price reductions, there was no effective boost in transactions, as the market generally exhibited a "rush to buy amid continuous price rise and hold back amid price downturn" sentiment, leading to a more pronounced wait-and-see sentiment and further deterioration in trading conditions. But, as the traditional peak season of September-October approaches, stainless steel mills have announced production cuts, and actual production schedules may be slightly lower than expected. Recently, stainless steel social inventory has seen a seven-week consecutive decline, and the prices of raw materials such as nickel and chromium have risen, along with increased expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts, and the national "anti-rat race" policy. With these multiple supports, stainless steel prices have shown signs of stopping the decline and rebounding this week.

 

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
18 hours ago
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Read More
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
This week, ferrous metals were in the doldrums, with coking coal and coke staging a mid-week rise. At the beginning of the week, financial markets experienced sharp fluctuations, dragging down sentiment in the ferrous chain and leading to a pullback in futures. Mid-week, Indonesia's cut to coke production quotas drove coking coal and coke futures to lead the gains, though the impact was more pronounced on thermal coal, while coking coal's rise was largely sentiment-driven and short-lived. In the latter part of the week, finished products continued their seasonal inventory buildup, and support from the raw material side weakened, causing the entire ferrous chain to pull back. In the spot market, with the Chinese New Year holiday approaching, purchasing activity slowed down further, with end-users only making limited, as-needed purchases at low prices.
18 hours ago
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
18 hours ago
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Read More
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Today, the DCE iron ore futures continued to hit bottom today, with the most-traded contract I2605 closing at 760.5 yuan/mt, down 1.23% from the previous trading day. Spot prices fell by 5–10 yuan/mt compared to the previous trading day.
18 hours ago
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
18 hours ago
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
Read More
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
[SMM Chrome Daily Review: Trading and Inquiries Weakened, Chrome Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday] February 6, 2026: Today, the ex-factory price of high-carbon ferrochrome in Inner Mongolia was 8,500-8,600 yuan/mt (50% metal content), flat MoM from the previous trading day...
18 hours ago